Layoff Risk Calculator
Get a personalised layoff risk score (0–100) based on your company's health, your department, your performance, and AI automation risk for your role. Takes 2 minutes.
Company Health
40% weight
Dept & Team
20% weight
Your Profile
20% weight
AI Risk
10% weight
Company Health
Tell us about the company you work at. This has the largest impact on your risk score (40% weight).
This is an estimation tool, not a guarantee. Risk scores are based on general layoff patterns and should not be taken as professional career or legal advice.
How the Scoring Model Works
The Layoff Risk Score is a weighted composite of five factor groups, designed to reflect how real-world layoff decisions are made. Company-level signals carry the most weight because macro company health is the strongest predictor of workforce reductions.
Company Health
Size, funding stage, revenue growth, profitability, stock performance, hiring trend, recent layoffs, and leadership stability.
Department & Team Risk
Some departments (Recruiting, Marketing, Content) are historically cut first. Team budget cuts and peer layoffs are leading indicators.
Individual Profile
Tenure, performance rating, visibility to leadership, remote vs in-office status, and replaceability of your domain knowledge.
AI Automation Risk
Based on a database of 90+ job roles scored for AI displacement risk, adjusted by your most in-demand skill.
Industry Outlook
Industry-level layoff risk across 55+ sectors, combined with geography risk for your market.
Risk Score Bands
| Score | Band | What it means |
|---|---|---|
| 0–20 | Very Safe | Strong protective factors, stable environment |
| 21–40 | Low Risk | Generally stable, minor risks present |
| 41–60 | Moderate Risk | Noticeable signals — take proactive steps |
| 61–80 | High Risk | Multiple red flags — begin job search prep |
| 81–100 | Critical Risk | Severe signals — act immediately |
Frequently Asked Questions
How accurate is the Layoff Risk Calculator?
This calculator is not a prediction tool — it estimates relative risk based on publicly known patterns from thousands of layoff events since 2022. It uses a weighted model across company health (40%), department risk (20%), individual factors (20%), AI automation risk (10%), and industry outlook (10%). Think of it like a credit score: it gives you a data-informed signal, not a certainty.
What factors most increase layoff risk?
The highest-risk signals are: company in a hiring freeze, significant recent layoffs at your company, declining revenue or low cash runway, working in high-risk departments like Recruiting or Marketing, being in a role with high AI automation potential, and short tenure (under 1 year).
Which departments get cut first during layoffs?
Historically, the first departments to be cut are Recruiting/TA (since hiring stops), Marketing, Customer Support, DEI, Content, and HR/L&D. Core engineering, security, and revenue-generating roles tend to be protected the longest.
Which job roles are most at risk from AI automation?
Data entry operators, customer support executives, content writers, translators, social media managers, and certain accounting and HR roles face the highest AI displacement risk. Roles requiring system design, creative judgment, physical presence, or human relationships are more protected.
Does working remotely increase my layoff risk?
Remote workers — especially those in a different country from HQ — do face slightly higher layoff risk when companies downsize, because they are often in lower-cost locations and face timezone/collaboration friction. Fully in-office employees in the same city as HQ tend to have better visibility to leadership.
How do I reduce my layoff risk score?
The most effective ways to reduce risk: build unique, hard-to-replace domain knowledge; move into roles with strong AI demand (ML, cloud, security); increase visibility to senior leaders by owning high-impact projects; build a track record of measurable business impact; and have 6–12 months emergency savings as a buffer.
What is a safe layoff risk score?
Scores of 0–20 are Very Safe, 21–40 are Low Risk. Most people in stable companies, in-demand roles, with good performance ratings will score between 25–45. Scores above 60 warrant active preparation, and above 80 suggest immediate job search activity.
Is my data stored or shared?
No. All calculations happen entirely in your browser. No personal data is sent to any server or stored anywhere. Your inputs are private.